Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Claypole		Deportivo Paraguayo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.1
	1.87	3	4.33	Watch
	1.81	3.21	4.01
	1.81	3.21	4.01
	1.79	3.08	4.69
	1.82	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.22)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	4.22 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Claypole
49.5%

Draw
29.1%

Deportivo Paraguayo
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Claypole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Claypole's performance.

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Paraguayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Claypole that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Paraguayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Llodra L. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Ramirez Vallejo J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Llodra L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Claypole won 4.

Recent matches Atlético Claypole is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Paraguayo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Claypole will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético Claypole won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Claypole won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
30.03.24	Real Pilar - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Atlético Claypole - Argentino de Rosario	2:2 ✺
18.03.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Español - Atlético Claypole	3:1 ✺
04.03.24	Atlético Claypole - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLW
- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
01.04.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
05.01.21	Deportivo Paraguayo - Atlético Claypole	0:1
15.10.19	Deportivo Paraguayo - Atlético Claypole	1:2
01.02.19	Deportivo Paraguayo - Atlético Claypole	0:0
04.09.18	Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0
03.05.18	Atlético Claypole - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0
06.12.17	Deportivo Paraguayo - Atlético Claypole	1:0
26.04.17	Deportivo Paraguayo - Atlético Claypole	0:0

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