The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Claypole 41.4%
Draw 31.7%
Argentino de Rosario 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
31%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
32.6%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Claypole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Claypole's performance.
Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino de Rosario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Claypole that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino de Rosario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Avalos N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, Vega J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Icazatti L. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Llodra L. (Pen),
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Claypole won 2.
Recent matches Atlético Claypole is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Argentino de Rosario is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atlético Claypole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Atlético Claypole will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético Claypole won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Claypole won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.