Match Info

Primera C - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Lugano		Deportivo Paraguayo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.95
	1.87	2.98	4.19
	1.89	3.02	4.29	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.2
	1.83	3	4.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.69)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)	4.23 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
48.2%

Draw
30.4%

Deportivo Paraguayo
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

28%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Paraguayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.

Recent performances by Lugano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Paraguayo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Estrella del Sur - Lugano	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Lugano	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Berazategui - Lugano	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLT
- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
24.08.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	1:2
27.03.24	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
17.09.23	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:2
12.06.23	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	1:1
25.03.23	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	0:1
03.09.22	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0
18.06.22	Deportivo Paraguayo - Lugano	1:1

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