Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 6

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Atlético El Vigía		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.65	1.72
	4.07	3.54	1.68
				Watch
	4.47	3.58	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (4.22)	3.59 ↑ (3.42)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético El Vigía
21.1%

Draw
25.3%

Estudiantes de Mérida
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.8%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético El Vigía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético El Vigía than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Lobo J. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Montilla Maldonado J. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 0 - 3, Ajam Elias ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Hernandez G. ⚽,

Preview

Est de Mérida is Qualified for Copa Venezuela (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Vigía won 0.

In recent matches, El Vigía has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Est de Mérida is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Est de Mérida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Est de Mérida is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Vigía won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, El Vigía won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético El Vigía
Copa Venezuela
02.07.25	Real Fronteras - Atlético El Vigía	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
29.06.25	Atlético El Vigía - Real Fronteras	1:3 ✺
22.06.25	Ureña - Atlético El Vigía	1:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
18.06.25	Ureña - Atlético El Vigía	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
15.06.25	Atlético El Vigía - Titanes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTWL
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.07.25	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
02.07.25	Ureña - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1 ✺
26.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Real Fronteras	3:0 ✺
18.06.25	Real Fronteras - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
04.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:0
27.06.24	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0
06.06.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:2
18.09.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:2
04.09.19	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.04.14	Atlético El Vigía - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1
09.11.13	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	3:3

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