Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)


	Carabobo		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.00	5.75
	1.40	3.95	6.40
	1.48	4.03	6.96
	1.58	3.93	5.66	Watch
	1.44	3.95	6.85
	1.50	3.98	6.61	Watch
	1.50	4.10	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)	3.99 ↑ (3.71)	6.32 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carabobo
62.3%

Draw
23.1%

Estudiantes de Mérida
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. (C) 6. Bahachille A. 4. Aponte L. 8. Perez J. 15. Cova M. 5. Castillo E. 14. Berios J. 24. Ramirez E. 11. Machis D. 9. Castillo B.	12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 2. Gutierez J. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 15. Rivas C. (C) 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 16. Lobo J. 14. Ivey R. 9. Hernandez J. 99. Matheus D.
Substitutes
20. Arzu E. 28. Bilbao J. 13. Duran J. 19. Martinez L. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 12. Roa K. (G)	77. Caicedo C. 23. Lacruz Y. 13. Maldonado M. 11. Montero A. 31. Montes G. 24. Moreno J. 10. Pena A. 1. Rojas T. (G) 36. Zambrano N.
Coaches
Farias D.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Gutierez J. 🟨,
23', Farias D. 🟨,
26', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Ramirez E. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
36', Perez J. 🟨,
39', Acosta H. 🟨,
42', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Castillo B. 🟨,
64', Castillo B. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
64', Machis D. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
74', Lobo J. ↓, Zambrano N. ↑,
81', Matheus D. ↓, Lacruz Y. ↑,
81', Acosta H. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
88', Berios J. ↓, Bilbao J. ↑,
88', Cova M. ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
88', Arzu E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
89', Rivas C. ↓, Pena A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Carabobo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18
7	Estudiantes Merida	11	4	4	3	12:12	0	16

Last Results with these Odds

Carabobo - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.5%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.09.26	Rayo Zuliano - Carabobo	4:3 ✺
30.08.26	Carabobo - Zamora	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Caracas - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
04.08.26	Carabobo - Trujillanos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTWW
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.09.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Anzoátegui	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Rayo Zuliano - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
17.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:2
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0
18.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	3:2
05.07.25	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1
25.01.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:2
17.11.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:3
27.10.24	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0

Upcoming Matches