Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 5

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ureña		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
	5.75	5	1.35
	6.7	5.15	1.34
	8.3	5.31	1.28
				Watch
	9.85	5.9	1.21
	6.7	5.15	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.46 ↑ (5.2)	5.3 ↑ (4.3)	1.3 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ureña
12.3%

Draw
17.3%

Estudiantes de Mérida
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

21.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ureña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ureña's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes de Mérida's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ureña - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Estudiantes Mérida (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ureña (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ureña (votes: 1 - 25%). Estudiantes Mérida (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ajam Elias ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Paez G. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ureña won 2.

Ureña is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ureña may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Est de Mérida is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ureña won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ureña won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ureña SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
28.06.25	Barquisimeto - Ureña	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Ureña - Atlético El Vigía	1:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
18.06.25	Ureña - Atlético El Vigía	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
15.06.25	Trujillanos - Ureña	2:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
11.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Copa Venezuela
26.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Real Fronteras	3:0 ✺
18.06.25	Real Fronteras - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	5:0 ✺
04.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Atlético El Vigía	4:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
26.04.25	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
11.06.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	5:0
15.08.18	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	4:1
08.08.18	Ureña - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0
13.09.17	Ureña - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:1
06.09.17	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	1:1
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.07.16	Ureña - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2
04.02.16	Estudiantes de Mérida - Ureña	2:1

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