Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Escobar		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.83	3.19	4.77	Watch
	2.01	3	3.7
	1.79	3.09	4.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)	3.06 ↑ (3)	4.06 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Escobar
47.8%

Draw
29.8%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

31%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

31.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Escobar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez L. (G) 8. Aguirre E. 4. Barreto N. 3. Cupolo N. 5. Juarez A. 11. Lezcano A. 9. Luna N. 6. Paniagua H. 10. Portillo T. A. 2. Veron D. 7. Villalba R.	1. Vizgarra K. (G) 2. Avalos J. 11. Bacas T. 8. Cartechini J. 5. Duarte K. 6. Gay F. 7. Luna E. 3. Pezzani F. 4. Ponce A. 10. Principiano L. 9. Roige E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Bertacin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Portillo T. A. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Ponce A. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, Veron D. ⚽,
85', 🟥,
87', 🟨,
87', 3 - 2, Luna N. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Recent form of Escobar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Def Belgrano VR has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Escobar could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Atlético Escobar	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	9 de Julio - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	El Linqueño - Atlético Escobar	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLT
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - El Linqueño	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTLW

Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo