The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 43.5%
Draw 32.5%
Sportivo Las Parejas 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
31%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
31%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. San Juan F. (G)
2. Fissore M.
3. Gauna J.
9. Gonzalez I.
5. Irribarria M.
7. Maciel A.
11. Obregon R.
4. Pollacchi M.
10. Rolon L.
6. Schmidt A.
8. Valenzuela J.
Substitutes
15. Camos A.
18. Cantadori T.
17. Hadad N.
16. Laborie L.
12. Lobos A. (G)
19. Martinez A.
20. Roncarolo V.
13. Suarez E.
14. Zanoni A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Roige E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Luna E. (Penalty Awarded),
55', 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Def Belgrano VR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Def Belgrano VR will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).