Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Armenia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético Escobar		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.00	7.25
	1.42	3.95	6.50
	1.42	4.46	6.44
	1.50	4.23	6.03	Watch
	1.40	4.40	5.30
	1.42	4.25	7.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.97)	4.22 ↑ (3.05)	6.55 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Escobar
64.3%

Draw
21.7%

Douglas Haig
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Escobar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Escobar's performance.

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Douglas Haig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Escobar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Douglas Haig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Escobar - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez F. (G) 3. Billordo M. 5. Juarez A. 8. Lara A. 11. Medina A. 7. Nunez L. 2. Paniagua H. 10. Portillo T. A. 6. Rodriguez M. 4. Veron D. 9. Villalba R.	1. Perrone F. (G) 8. Caballo M. 6. Canela N. 10. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 11. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 4. Pezzi A. 7. Tus E.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre E. 15. Barreto N. 14. Cupolo N. 18. Di Pietro C. 16. Kilanowski N. 17. Mercado L. L. V. 12. Salamanca C. (G) 20. Vera C. 19. Vila J. M.	17. Baglivo G. L. 18. Fiorito S. 14. Mauri M. 13. Ojeda L. 15. Pereira G. 12. Ratalin G. (G) 19. Rosciano L. 20. Schlotthauer M. 16. Seratto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Nunez L. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Castellano J. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Villalba R. ⚽,
76', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Escobar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Douglas Haig's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Escobar is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Escobar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Escobar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Atlético Escobar	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Atlético Escobar - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Atlético Escobar - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWW
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Douglas Haig - Atlético Escobar	4:1

Atlético Escobar - Douglas Haig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide