The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Chivilcoy 28.8%
Draw 36.1%
Douglas Haig 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
30.5%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
26.9%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.
Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douglas Haig's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cordero M. (G) 9. Berrutti B. 3. Borgognoni G. 5. Cisnero L. 10. Funes F. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 4. Mast T. 7. Ramirez U. 11. Retamozo L. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.
1. Perrone F. (G) 11. Arriola C. 8. Caballo M. 6. Canela N. 10. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 2. Lopez L. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 4. Pezzi A. 7. Tus E.
Substitutes
13. Acuna L. 12. Burello A. (G) 14. Caceres E. 17. Fevola T. 15. Herrera A. 16. Mendoza D. 19. Mercado L. 20. Perez F. 18. Soriano V.
12. Auil A. (G) 18. Fiorito S. 17. Gimenez M. 14. Mauri M. 13. Ojeda L. 15. Pereira G. 20. Reta F. 19. Rosciano L. 16. Seratto R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, Arriola C. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Castellano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ramirez U. ↓, Soriano V. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Castellano J. ⚽,
57', Cisnero L. ↓, Acuna L. ↑,
57', Borgognoni G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
64', Torres D. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
68', Arriola C. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
77', Meza B. ↓, Ojeda L. ↑,
77', Berrutti B. ↓, Fevola T. ↑,
81', Palacio J. ↓, Rosciano L. ↑,
81', Caballo M. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
83', 🟨,
90', 0 - 4, Fiorito S. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 2.
Recent performances by Ind Chivilcoy have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Douglas Haig is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Douglas Haig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).
Argentina
Watch
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Cordero M. (G) 
Soriano V. 
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