The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Linqueño 31.1%
Draw 34.4%
Douglas Haig 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
31.1%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
31.8%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+1%)
El Linqueño - Douglas Haig Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 8. Colombi B. 4. Ferraro F. 5. Garcia Pereyra J. 6. Malinauskas J. 11. Mc Cormick A. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 7. Pavon M. 9. Quijada J. 3. Veinticinco J.
1. Perrone F. (G) 7. Arriola C. 8. Caballo M. 6. Canela N. 3. Cuello L. 11. Gimenez M. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 10. Pereira G. 2. Pezzi A. 4. Tus E.
Substitutes
14. Alonso A. 13. Alsina T. 12. Atencio J. (G) 19. Cordoba N. 15. Coria J. 20. Gonzalez B. 16. Juarez Lacoste N. 17. Luques J. 18. Macias L.
12. Auil A. (G) 17. Castellano J. 18. Fiorito S. 14. Lopez L. 15. Mauri M. 13. Ojeda L. 20. Reta F. 19. Rosciano L. 16. Seratto R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Ferraro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Pavon M. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 0.
El Linqueño is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Douglas Haig's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).