Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Atlético Grau		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.15	3.1	2.17	Watch
	3.39	3.04	2.19
	3.37	3.17	2.24
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.26	3.13	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.55)	3.13 ↓ (3.21)	2.19 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
28.1%

Draw
29.6%

River Plate Montevideo
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.6%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	18.5%	70.4%

Atlético Grau - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.20	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Sport Huancayo - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Supercopa
23.01.20	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Atlético Grau	0:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
14.12.19	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0 ✺
11.12.19	Chavelines Juniors - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWTT
- River Plate Montevideo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.20	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.02.20	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
02.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Club General Díaz	3:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
25.01.20	Godoy Cruz - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

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