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Current Win Probability
Atlético Grau 40.7%
Draw 26.6%
Universidad César Vallejo 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
25.8%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
25.3%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.
Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad César Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
7.1%
21.4%
Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Grau: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 2. Ampuero A. 6. Rodas E. 8. Soto D. 5. Guarderas R. 77. Da Luz M. 10. de la Cruz P. 11. Bandiera N. 9. Sandoval T.
21. Carvallo J. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 19. Ascues C. 6. Perea G. 32. Madrid J. 88. Ballon J. 8. Ysique F. 33. Benitez E. 93. Rodriguez A. 20. Noronha O. 10. Velez J. (C)
Substitutes
13. Franco D. 16. F. Rojas 24. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia Ceriani B. 23. Oncoy F. 3. Reyes J. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A. 28. Solis A. 20. Vasquez A.
13. Barreto G. 7. Barreto O. 61. Bolivar J. 23. Da Silva P. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 17. Mena Y. 38. Perez D. 18. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Comizzo A.
Hernandez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sandoval T. ⚽, de la Cruz P. (A),
31', de la Cruz P. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
32', 2 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Rostaing J. (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ballon J. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
46', Perea G. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
65', Sandoval T. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
65', Rodas E. ↓, Franco D. ↑,
74', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
78', Alvarez P. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
78', Reyes J. ↓, Garcia Ceriani B. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Mena Y. (Pen),
86', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 1.
Grau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Grau will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Grau: Mora O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in César Vallejo: Cabello C.
(Injury)
Loyola N.
(Injury)
Quinones Goicochea J. J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Grau: Sandoval R.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Grau to win the game is with odds 2.17.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Grau won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).
Peru
World
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Alvarez P. (C) 
Tapia R. 
Da Luz M. 
Perea G. 
Benitez E. 
Velez J. (C) 
Da Silva P. 
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