Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Miranda (Comayagua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Atlético Independiente		Juticalpa

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.60	4.20
	1.65	3.45	4.4
	1.74	3.69	4.36
	1.69	3.73	4.78	Watch
	1.71	3.3	4.1
	1.63	3.54	4.89
	1.65	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	4.45 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Independiente
54.1%

Draw
25.6%

Juticalpa
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

21.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Independiente than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juticalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Independiente - Juticalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez M. (G) 15. Arias E. 21. Cabrera A. 17. Cruz S. 7. Enamorado N. 27. Espinoza S. 14. Fiallos J. 28. Llorente D. 3. Ramirez A. 30. Vasquez C. 18. Yanez F.	35. Facusse E. (G) 24. Barrios O. 16. Chavez B. 28. Gomez A. 20. Gonzalez R. 14. Kelly K. 4. Matute K. 2. Nunez M. 6. Rochez C. 9. Rochez J. 30. Sacaza C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Nunez M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽,
27', Cabrera A. 🟨,
45+4', Nunez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Padilla J. 🟨,
60', Canales M. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
60', Nunez M. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
63', Vasquez C. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
63', Cabrera A. ↓, Escoto Pineda F. J. ↑,
63', Llorente D. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
69', Padilla J. ↓, Matute K. ↑,
70', Rochez J. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
70', Espinoza S. ↓, Marmol E. ↑,
71', Escoto Pineda F. J. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Cruz S. ⚽,
83', Velasquez J. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
83', Cruz S. ↓, Bodden A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 11).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Juticalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Independiente
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.09.26	Atlético Independiente - Motagua	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Platense - Atlético Independiente	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Atlético Independiente - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Real España - Atlético Independiente	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	CD Marathón - Atlético Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLTTL
- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
06.09.26	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Juticalpa	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

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