Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Juticalpa		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.30
	2.90	3.10	2.14
	2.98	3.30	2.19
	3.04	3.39	2.25	Watch
	2.50	3.15	2.40
	2.75	3.67	2.30
	2.75	3.20	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juticalpa
32.4%

Draw
27.7%

Lobos UPNFM
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Facusse E. (G) 24. Barrios O. 10. Canales M. 28. Gomez A. 20. Gonzalez R. (C) 14. Kelly K. 2. Nunez M. 6. Rochez C. 9. Rochez J. 30. Sacaza C. 45. Velasquez J.	12. Guity A. (G) 11. Elvir S. (C) 4. Garcia J. 15. Glavocic J. 10. Hinestroza Y. 7. Hurtado L. 26. Lopez B. 20. Lopez E. 6. Ponce J. 13. Rodriguez M. 5. Zuniga A.
Substitutes
12. Casildo L. 39. Centeno J. 16. Chavez B. 19. Delgadillo Y. 25. Filipe (G) 15. Gaboriell N. 50. Galeas J. 32. Monico D. 13. Obando Y. 17. Padilla J. 27. Quaye W. 29. Suazo O.	22. Ardon C. 25. Banegas G. (G) 16. Carter D. 23. Castrillo J. 55. Lagos D. (G) 32. Martinez J. 77. Mejia C. 17. Rodas D. 2. Suazo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Zuniga A. 🟨,
45+3', Hinestroza Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hinestroza Y. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
58', Nunez M. 🟨,
59', Hurtado L. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
62', Rochez J. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
67', Kelly K. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
67', Rochez C. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
72', Barrios O. 🟨,
83', Canales M. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
83', Gonzalez R. ↓, Centeno J. ↑,
86', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lagos D. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Padilla J. ⚽,
90+2', Elvir S. ↓, Castrillo J. ↑,
90+4', Rochez J. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Liga Nacional (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 1.

Lobos UPNFM will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Juticalpa	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.08.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
26.04.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
08.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	3:2
22.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0
31.08.25	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	0:2
29.03.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0
29.01.25	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
06.11.24	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	3:0

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