Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)


	CD Marathón		Atlético Independiente

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.90	6.75
	1.32	4.35	8.3
	1.35	4.5	8.23
	1.42	4.22	7.96	Watch
	1.33	4.1	7.55
	1.44	4.02	7.93
	1.32	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	4.18 ↑ (3.68)	7.82 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
66.5%

Draw
21.8%

Atlético Independiente
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Marathón's performance.

Atlético Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

CD Marathón - Atlético Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Rodriguez M. (G)
	4. Enamorado N.
	27. Espinoza S.
	23. Martinez I.
	21. Melendez L.
	2. Tatum Ferrera A. K.
	16. Techera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Elis A. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
68', Espinoza S. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
68', Martinez I. ↓, Arias E. ↑,
71', Aguilera J. 🟨,
72', Farioli B. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
72', Messiniti N. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
76', Perez C. 🟥,
82', Aguilera J. ↓, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↑,
82', Moreno Y. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
84', Cabrera A. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
90', Melendez L. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
90+1', Cruz S. ↓, Marmol E. ↑,
90+7', Martinez G. 🟨,

Preview

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marathón is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
8	Atletico Independiente	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.26	Herediano - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.05.26	Motagua - CD Marathón	1:0 penalties ✺
21.05.26	CD Marathón - Motagua	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Real España - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTTW

Upcoming Matches