Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Madrid B		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.3	2.37
	3.29	3.31	2.15
	4	3.25	1.7
	3.17	3.4	2.13
	3.2	3.25	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (4)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.08 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
27.7%

Draw
28.1%

Castellón
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27.3%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid B's performance.

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Atlético Madrid B - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Iturbe A. (G) 27. Bonar J. 3. Moreno M. 4. Gomez M. 15. Martinez D. 22. Perez P. 23. Gismera A. 6. Ndiaye Dione A. 9. Touaizi N. 17. Nino A. 11. El Jebari S.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 14. Gil O. 16. Sanchez M. 18. Indias I. 23. Calavera J. 19. Villahermosa D. 10. Sanchez R. 7. Moyita S. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar Lopez G. 14. Arumi J. 7. Bri D. 10. Calatrava A. 2. Halhal R. 19. Mestanza A. 24. Mestre S. (G) 8. Mini 21. Raihani A.	11. Aurelio D. 13. Carney J. (G) 8. Gracia J. 2. Granero B. 20. Iosifov N. 21. Kastaneer G. 4. Medunjanin H. 27. Minana S. 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 15. Traore M. 33. Vertrouwd J.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Recent matches Atlético Madrid B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castellón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Madrid B - Linares Deportivo	5:0 ✺
02.01.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWTT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.24	Castellón - Antequera	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Castellón - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Castellón - Osasuna	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.23	Castellón - Atlético Madrid B	2:0
Club Friendly
09.08.18	Castellón - Atlético Madrid B	1:2

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