Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD (Alcala de Henares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Madrid B		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	2.60
	2.30	3.20	2.70
	2.40	3.05	2.70
	2.54	3.35	2.71
	2.34	3.21	3.03	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.65
	2.50	3.33	2.71
	2.37	3.10	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.29)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	2.72 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
37.8%

Draw
28.6%

Real Murcia
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Astralaga A. (C) 14. Hueso R. 4. Yaakobishvili A. 3. Gil J. 22. Sola A. 20. Alcaniz E. 15. Garcia D. 16. Helguera T. 19. Domenech M. 9. Esteban S. 11. Santos A.	13. Jimenez D. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Perez H. 5. Rojas J. 3. Romero C. 11. Bustos A. 15. Gil O. (C) 8. Mier J. 17. Moreno Sanchez J. 23. Bosilj D. 19. Jorquera Romero J.
Substitutes
17. Alvaro J. 26. Aznar J. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 10. Cubo M. 2. Diez S. 5. Gimenez C. 21. Kamate I. 6. Munoz D. 32. Pan Abajo P. 12. Puric A. 18. Seidu T. 30. Vega A.	18. Diao U. 21. Errahaly M. 20. Gimenez A. 6. Gonzalez A. 14. Joao Pedro Palmberg 40. Meca A. 7. Moyita S. 10. Nunez C. 22. Olmedo V. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 24. Sanchez J. G. 27. Yoldi A.
Coaches
Torres F.	Guillo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Santos A. (Penalty Awarded),
17', Mier J. 🟨,
19', Esteban S. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
26', Mier J. 🟨,
35', Yaakobishvili A. 🟨,
45+10', 2 - 0, Cubo M. ⚽, Sola A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mier J. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
46', Bustos A. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Cubo M. ⚽, Helguera T. (A),
54', Mier J. ↓, Olmedo V. ↑,
58', Yaakobishvili A. ↓, Puric A. ↑,
58', Domenech M. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Alcaniz E. ⚽,
63', Moreno Sanchez J. ↓, Diao U. ↑,
68', Helguera T. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
68', Santos A. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
73', Hueso R. 🟨,
73', Jorquera Romero J. 🟨,
76', Gil O. ↓, Yoldi A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 2.

Murcia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Murcia - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.22%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.26	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.06.26	Atlético Madrid B - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.05.26	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLTW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.26	Real Murcia - Teruel	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Cieza - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
01.08.26	Real Murcia - Eldense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.04.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	2:1
14.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	1:1
07.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	2:1
09.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
25.05.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	3:1
02.01.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1

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