The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Madrid B 38.9%
Draw 30%
Ponferradina 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
27.1%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
28.7%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid B's form might have worsened.
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Madrid B - Ponferradina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 5. Martinez D. 15. Puric A. 3. Diaz J. 9. Llorente R. 6. Serrano J. 10. Belaid R. 18. Bellotti M. 23. Ortiz A. 30. Cubo M.
1. Prieto A. (G) 12. Koke 5. Undabarrena E. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 7. Calderon C. 22. Esquerdo V. 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Valle B. (C) 17. Keita A. 18. Vazquez B.
Substitutes
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 29. Esteban S. 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 17. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 27. Seidu T. 12. Spina G.
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 27. Iriarte X. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 24. Moran E. 8. Slavy
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Keita A. ⚽,
19', Esquerdo V. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
23', Cubo M. 🟨,
39', Ortiz A. 🟨,
39', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Belaid R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
62', Novoa G. ↓, Andujar D. ↑,
62', Keita A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
64', Bellotti M. ↓, Koke ↑,
76', Calderon C. ↓, Mfulu O. ↑,
76', San Emeterio F. ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
76', Diaz J. ↓, Corral A. ↑,
76', Serrano J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
83', Mfulu O. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', Puric A. ↓, Esteban S. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
In recent matches, Atlético Madrid B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ponferradina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético Madrid B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Esquivel S. (G) 
Puric A. 
Bellotti M. 
Najera R. 
Mfulu O. 
Moltenis B. 
Slavy 
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