The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 47%
Draw 29.2%
Atlético Madrid B 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
30.1%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
29.7%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.
Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid B Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 12. Koke 5. Undabarrena E. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 7. Calderon C. 22. Esquerdo V. 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Valle B. 8. Slavy 18. Vazquez B.
31. Esquivel S. (G) 32. Bonar J. 5. Martinez D. 40. Puric A. 34. Diaz J. 6. Serrano J. 18. Bellotti M. 37. Luque I. 29. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 9. Llorente R.
Substitutes
2. Andujar D. 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 16. Frimpong E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 17. Keita A. 26. Kysil V. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 24. Moran E.
20. Barboza M. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 61. Cubo M. 1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 47. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 22. Perovic M. 27. Seidu T. 12. Spina G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ortiz A. 🟨,
21', Vazquez B. 🟨,
28', Valle B. 🟨,
44', Luque I. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
68', Belaid R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
68', Ortiz A. ↓, Corral A. ↑,
70', Calderon C. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
70', San Emeterio F. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
71', Bonar J. 🟨,
78', Valle B. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
78', Esquerdo V. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
79', Serrano J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
86', Frimpong E. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
88', Castillo J. 🟨,
90+2', Bellotti M. ↓, Barboza M. ↑,
90+2', Llorente R. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
90+3', Puric A. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
Ponferradina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atlético Madrid B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ponferradina
6
3
2
1
5:3
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.