Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD (Alcala de Henares)

Referee: Altuna Paguey G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Atlético Madrid B		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.20	2.63
	2.35	3.25	2.60
	2.20	3.25	2.80
	2.59	3.25	2.87
	2.45	3.44	2.7	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.80
	2.48	3.34	2.74
	2.31	3.30	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	2.72 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
38%

Draw
28.3%

Villarreal B
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Astralaga A. (G) 14. Hueso R. 4. Yaakobishvili A. 3. Gil J. 22. Sola A. 20. Alcaniz E. 16. Helguera T. 8. Castillo J. (C) 21. Kamate I. 17. Alvaro J. 19. Domenech M.	1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 14. Fores A. 5. Garcia A. 4. Pujol E. 3. Ortiz E. (C) 17. El Jmili N. 6. Pascual P. 8. Tidiane Thiam C. 7. Gaitan J. 9. Garcia A. 20. Barattucci N.
Substitutes
26. Aznar J. 36. Badji A. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 10. Cubo M. 2. Diez S. 15. Garcia D. 5. Gimenez C. 7. Koke 6. Munoz D. 32. Pan Abajo P. 18. Seidu T. 30. Vega A.	24. Arguigue Safsati A. 19. Barry M. 23. Diallo M. 2. Encuentra J. 22. Fofana D. 18. Gomez V. 21. Keita M. 29. Owono R. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 12. Sanchez N. 16. Valls A. 10. Viveros F.
Coaches
Torres F.	Albelda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Gaitan J. ⚽, Barattucci N. (A),
27', Yaakobishvili A. 🟨,
45+1', Garcia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alcaniz E. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
60', 🟨,
60', Domenech M. 🟥,
66', 0 - 2, Garcia A. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Kamate I. ↓, Diez S. ↑,
67', Castillo J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
68', Ortiz E. 🟨,
70', Pujol E. 🟨,
76', Pascual P. ↓, Valls A. ↑,
76', Barattucci N. ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
76', El Jmili N. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
76', Hueso R. ↓, Koke ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Garcia D. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Gil J. 🟥,
89', Alvaro J. ↓, Pan Abajo P. ↑,
89', Garcia A. ↓, Fofana D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Fofana D. ⚽, Fores A. (A),

Preview

Villarreal B is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Madrid B has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Madrid B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarreal B	6	4	1	1	12:6	6	13
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal B - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.25%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.26	Huesca - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.06.26	Atlético Madrid B - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTL
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.09.26	Villarreal B - Antequera	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Huesca - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Villarreal B - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Teruel - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:1
03.10.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Madrid B	1:3
21.02.25	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:0
24.11.24	Villarreal B - Atlético Madrid B	3:2

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