Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Madrid C		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	3.9
	1.81	3.38	4.09
	1.13	8.12	14.37	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.86	3.61	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)	4.36 ↑ (4)	6.04 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid C
60.3%

Draw
23%

Unión Adarve
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Atlético Madrid C - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Barrios J. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Kosty 🟥,
44', 2 - 0, Barrios J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Vinatea S. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Atlético C is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Union Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.04.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Atlético Madrid C	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Atlético Madrid C - Galapagar	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Madrid C - Siello	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Atlético Madrid C	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Madrid C - Leganés B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWW
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.04.26	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Unión Adarve	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Unión Adarve - Leganés B	4:3 ✺
15.03.26	Trival Valderas - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Unión Adarve - Torrejón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.25	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid C	3:2

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