Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Monte Azul		Lemense FC

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.75
	1.62	3.75	4.7
	1.66	3.94	4.29
	1.61	3.78	4.71
	1.62	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	4.63 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
56.5%

Draw
23.8%

Lemense FC
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lemense FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Keven ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Josue ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Gui Sales ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 3 - 1, ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, Gui Sales ⚽,
87', 🟥,
89', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Monte Azul is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Monte Azul is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lemense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Monte Azul is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Monte Azul to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monte Azul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Monte Azul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
09.03.25	XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	União São João - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Marília	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWW
- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Lemense FC - União São João	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	EC São Bernardo - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Desportivo Brasil - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Lemense FC - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Catanduva - Lemense FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
27.02.21	Lemense FC - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0
21.02.20	Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC	6:0

Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide