Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 10

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Monte Azul		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.2	3.2
	1.89	3.22	3.75
	2.01	3.23	3.56	Watch
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.14	3.4	3.24
	2.02	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.52)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	3.41 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
45.1%

Draw
28.1%

Marília
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Monte Azul's performance.

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marília might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Monte Azul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Monte Azul - Marília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Lima L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Gui Sales (Pen),
81', 2 - 1, Cirilo ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Vinicios ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Marília could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	Catanduva - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Bandeirante	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	União Suzano - Atlético Monte Azul	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Preto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWW
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Marília - EC São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Marília - União São João	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Lemense FC - Marília	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Marília - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWTW

Atlético Monte Azul - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide