Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)


	Marília		União São João

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.3	5
	1.64	3.3	5.4
	1.68	3.41	5.05	Watch
	1.65	3.35	5.14
	1.61	3.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.79)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	5.16 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marília
55.2%

Draw
27.3%

União São João
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

30.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Marília - União São João Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Marília is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

União São João is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently União São João have a series of home games.

In this match Marília is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marília won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Marília won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	União São João - Marília	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Marília - Rio Branco de Americana	3:3 ✺
09.03.25	Francana - Marília	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Marília - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWTT
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	União São João - Marília	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	União São João - Rio Preto	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Lemense FC - União São João	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	União São João - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	União São João - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.03.25	União São João - Marília	1:0
08.02.25	Marília - União São João	2:1
27.01.24	Marília - União São João	0:0

Marília - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide