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Current Win Probability
Atlético Monzón 30.4%
Draw 35.4%
Cuarte 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
30.5%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
29.4%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Monzón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Monzón's form might have worsened.
Cuarte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monzón than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Monzón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuarte than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuarte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
62', 🟥,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Monzón won 2.
Atlético Monzón has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cuarte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético Monzón might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Monzón won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Monzón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Atletico Monzon
5
3
1
1
8:7
1
10
5
Cuarte
5
3
0
2
11:6
5
9
Last Results with these Odds
Cuarte - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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