The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuarte 42.2%
Draw 33.7%
Calamocha 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
30.3%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
32.2%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuarte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuarte's form might have worsened.
Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuarte than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuarte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calamocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cuarte - Calamocha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuarte won 3.
Cuarte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Calamocha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Cuarte has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cuarte is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cuarte won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 1.5:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cuarte won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Cuarte
5
3
0
2
11:6
5
9
Last Results with these Odds
Cuarte - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.56%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.