Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - APERTURA - ROUND 6

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)


	Atlético Nacional		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7.25
	1.37	4.4	7.5
	1.4	4.67	9.06
	1.38	4	8
	1.4	4.5	8.3
	1.41	4.3	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	4.37 ↑ (4)	7.93 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
66.9%

Draw
21.4%

Atlético Huila
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Nacional will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3.

Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Huila is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Huila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético Nacional is certain favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
19.02.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Colombian Super Cup
16.02.23	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pereira	4:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.02.23	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Super Cup
08.02.23	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.02.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWL
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Copa
21.02.23	Atlético Huila - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.02.23	Atlético Huila - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.02.23	Orsomarso - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
10.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Huila	2:0 ✺
03.02.23	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
09.10.21	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	1:4
06.08.19	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	4:1
10.02.19	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	1:1
23.09.18	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	1:0
02.06.18	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	1:0 penalties
29.05.18	Atlético Huila - Atlético Nacional	0:0
28.03.18	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Huila	1:0

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