The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Ottawa 25%
Draw 29%
Forge 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
28.1%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
27.2%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Ottawa's form might have worsened.
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Atlético Ottawa - Forge Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Forge will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crampton T. (G) 18. Mbomio R. 23. Abatneh N. A. S. 5. Aguilar D. 14. Assi J. 2. Castro J. 10. Aparicio M. (C) 11. Antinoro G. 8. Villal J. 7. Garcia E. 13. Tabla B.
16. Bertaud D. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 8. Batisse A. 3. Jevremovic M. 22. Jensen N. 23. Aromatario A. 6. Paton B. 19. Borges T. (C) 9. Wright B. 17. Massunda H.
Substitutes
28. Cloutier L. 20. Coulanges J. 30. Habibullah K. 31. Kalongo C. (G) 84. Kozlovskiy S. 9. Myklebust E. 27. Timoteo W.
18. Babouli M. 10. Bekker K. 36. Bontis D. (G) 87. Bourgeois M. 12. Filion M. 4. Krutzen D. 7. Oketokoun I.
Coaches
Mejia D.
Smyrniotis B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Aparicio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Aromatario A. 🟨,
59', Mejia D. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Abatneh N. A. S. ⚽,
68', Wright B. ↓, Oketokoun I. ↑,
68', Assi J. ↓, Coulanges J. ↑,
68', Borges T. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
76', Aromatario A. ↓, Krutzen D. ↑,
76', Jensen N. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
80', Garcia E. ↓, Timoteo W. ↑,
80', Massunda H. ↓, Bourgeois M. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Oketokoun I. ⚽, Bourgeois M. (A),
87', 2 - 1, Coulanges J. ⚽, Tabla B. (A),
90', Antinoro G. ↓, Myklebust E. ↑,
90', Tabla B. ↓, Cloutier L. ↑,
90', Villal J. ↓, Habibullah K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 1.
Atlético Ottawa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Forge is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Forge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Forge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Forge ✔
25
15
6
4
41:20
21
51
3
Atl. Ottawa
25
12
4
9
38:41
-3
40
Last Results with these Odds
Forge - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Crampton T. (G) 
Mbomio R. 
Aguilar D. 
Bertaud D. (G) 
Rama R. 
Batisse A. 
Jevremovic M. 
Myklebust E. 
Babouli M. 
Krutzen D. 
Oketokoun I. 
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