Match Info

Championship - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Villanueva R. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	CF Montréal		Forge

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.35	3.7
	1.88	3.63	3.74
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.87	3.36	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	3.71 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
48.7%

Draw
26.9%

Forge
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

CF Montréal - Forge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Forge (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Forge (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 16. Waterman J. 5. Craig B. 13. Petrasso L. 27. Bugaj D. 22. Loturi V. 6. Piette S. (C) 25. Sealy D. 23. Clark C. 10. Duke B. 9. Owusu P.	1. Koleilat J. (G) 24. Rama R. 81. Owolabi-Belewu M. 5. Nimick D. 3. Jevremovic M. 18. Babouli M. 10. Bekker K. (C) 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 11. Ampomah N. 7. Choiniere D. 9. Wright B.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez F. 1. Breza S. (G) 24. Campbell G. . Escobar O. 35. Graham-Roache O. 39. Guboglo Y. 3. Pearce T. 18. Synchuk G. 28. Vilsaint J.	19. Borges T. 32. Bruno Z. 12. Filion M. 22. Jensen N. 29. Kalongo C. (G) 16. Kane K. 41. Kone A. 17. Massunda H. 6. Paton B.
Coaches
Donadel M.	Smyrniotis B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Owusu P. 🟨,
45', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Duke B. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', Choiniere D. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
62', Ampomah N. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
63', Piette S. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
65', Borges T. 🟨,
74', Bugaj D. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
74', Clark C. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
77', 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Borges T. ⚽, Massunda H. (A),
80', 1 - 2, Bekker K. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', Bekker K. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
86', Petrasso L. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Babouli M. ↓, Kane K. ↑,
88', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Owusu P. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.

Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Forge is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.

Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
05.07.25	CF Montréal - Inter Miami	1:4 ✺
28.06.25	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	1:3 ✺
14.06.25	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	CF Montréal - New England Revolution	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWL
- Forge FC
Canadian Premier League
05.07.25	Forge - Vancouver FC	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Forge - Inter Toronto	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Valour - Forge	0:5 ✺
15.06.25	Vancouver FC - Forge	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Forge - HFX Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Championship
20.05.25	Forge - CF Montréal	1:0
22.05.24	CF Montréal - Forge	1:2
07.05.24	Forge - CF Montréal	1:1
24.05.23	CF Montréal - Forge	2:0
25.05.22	CF Montréal - Forge	3:0
27.10.21	Forge - CF Montréal	0:1 penalties

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