The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 51.7%
Draw 26.7%
Forge 21.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.8%
24.8%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
26.1%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CF Montréal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
CF Montréal - Forge Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 2. Neal J. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 16. Carmona W. 14. Rios D. 21. Herbers F. 9. Owusu P. (C)
16. Bertaud D. (G) 24. Rama R. 5. Nimick D. 55. James M. 3. Jevremovic M. 22. Jensen N. (C) 8. Batisse A. 23. Aromatario A. 87. Bourgeois M. 90. Cavallini L. 26. Sadek A.
Substitutes
33. Gazdov E. (G) 41. Keita S. (G) 24. Morales E. 36. Nteziryayo J. 7. Pereira D. 6. Piette S. 10. Sanchez A. 23. Streit N. 18. Synchuk G.
36. Bontis D. (G) 19. Borges T. 33. Grant C. (G) 14. Johnson L. 4. Krutzen D. 17. Massunda H. 7. Oketokoun I. 6. Paton B. 9. Wright B.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Smyrniotis B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Craig B. 🟨,
24', James M. 🟨,
25', Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Cavallini L. 🟨,
32', Vera B. 🟨,
42', Cavallini L. ↓, Oketokoun I. ↑,
45+6', 0 - 1, Batisse A. ⚽, Jensen N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sadek A. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Rios D. ⚽, Herbers F. (A),
54', Vera B. 🟨,
57', Herbers F. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
70', Jensen N. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
70', Aromatario A. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
81', Rios D. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
81', Carmona W. ↓, Streit N. ↑,
82', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
88', Bourgeois M. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
100', Synchuk G. 🟨,
105', Jevremovic M. ↓, Krutzen D. ↑,
111', Craig B. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Borges T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Paton B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Longstaff M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Krutzen D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Synchuk G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nimick D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pereira D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, James M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Montreal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Forge shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Montreal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Montreal carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Canada
Usa
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Breza S. (G) 
Craig B. 
Vera B. 
Longstaff M. 
Carmona W. 
Rios D. 
Herbers F. 
Owusu P. (C) 
Bertaud D. (G) 
Rama R. 
Jevremovic M. 
Batisse A. 
Morales E. 
Sanchez A. 
Streit N. 
Synchuk G. 
Krutzen D. 
Oketokoun I. 
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