Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Atlético Paso		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	3	2.6	2.55
	2.9	2.7	2.45
	3.05	2.65	2.55
	3.16	2.65	2.58
	3.12	2.63	2.58	Watch
	3.01	2.75	2.59
	3.05	2.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.81)	2.66 ↓ (3)	2.55 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Paso
30%

Draw
34.3%

Rayo Majadahonda
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

30.5%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

29.7%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Paso's performance.

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Majadahonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Paso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Majadahonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Paso - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Armiche ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Manzano K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Simeone G. ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, Simeone G. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Menudo (Pen),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Atlético Paso is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rayo Majadahonda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Unión Adarve - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Atlético Paso - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Colonia Moscardó	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Navalcarnero - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Coria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTW

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