Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.7	3.3	1.9
	3.4	3.41	2
	3.54	3.44	1.94	Watch
	3.65	3.32	1.97
	3.7	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4.39)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
25.3%

Draw
27.4%

Rayo Majadahonda
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.6%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Majadahonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Leiton D. 🟥,
56', 0 - 1, Manzano K. (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Móstoles URJC is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rayo Majadahonda is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Rayo Majadahonda is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles URJC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles URJC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Móstoles URJC - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Cacereño - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Navalcarnero - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Coria	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Illescas - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Conquense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.08.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0

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