Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Porcuna		El Ejido

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.33
	1.68	3.6	4.4
	1.49	4.13	5.77
	1.68	3.67	4.54	Watch
	1.61	3.74	4.77
	1.68	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)	3.71 ↑ (3.45)	4.7 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Porcuna
56%

Draw
24.6%

El Ejido
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

21.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Porcuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Ejido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Porcuna - El Ejido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Pegalajar (Pen),
21', 1 - 1, Saifi Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Porcuna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Ejido has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlético Porcuna is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
13.04.25	Huétor Vega - Atlético Porcuna	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Atlético Porcuna - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	CP Almería - Atlético Porcuna	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL
- CD El Ejido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
13.04.25	El Ejido - Motril	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Torre Del Mar - El Ejido	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	El Ejido - Martos	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	El Ejido - Huétor Vega	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Arenas Armilla - El Ejido	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.12.24	El Ejido - Atlético Porcuna	2:1
06.10.19	El Ejido - Atlético Porcuna	1:0

Atlético Porcuna - El Ejido: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide