Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	El Ejido		Motril

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.46
	6	4	1.46
	6.25	4.08	1.46	Watch
	6.91	4.25	1.39
	6	4	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (5.7)	4.05 ↓ (4.2)	1.45 (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Ejido
14.7%

Draw
22.5%

Motril
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

21.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+1%)

El Ejido - Motril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
61', 🟥,
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
81', 🟥,
83', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

El Ejido is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Motril in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Motril is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches El Ejido won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams El Ejido won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Ejido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.04.25	Torre Del Mar - El Ejido	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	El Ejido - Martos	2:3 ✺
23.03.25	El Ejido - Huétor Vega	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Arenas Armilla - El Ejido	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	El Ejido - CP Almería	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLTW
- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.04.25	Motril - Huétor Vega	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Arenas Armilla - Motril	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Motril - CP Almería	4:0 ✺
19.03.25	Motril - Mancha Real	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Real Jaén - Motril	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
30.11.24	Motril - El Ejido	0:1
17.12.23	Motril - El Ejido	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
19.07.20	El Ejido - Motril	3:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.12.19	El Ejido - Motril	0:0

El Ejido - Motril: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide