Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Arenas Armilla		El Ejido

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.62	3.55	4.9
	1.61	3.66	5.12
	1.64	3.86	4.96
	1.62	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	4.7 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
55%

Draw
25.5%

El Ejido
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Armilla's performance.

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Armilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Arenas Armilla - El Ejido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Bolivar M. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, ⚽,
14', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Arenas Armilla is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arenas Armilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Armilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.03.25	Huétor Vega - Arenas Armilla	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Arenas Armilla - Martos	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Arenas Armilla - CP Almería	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLW
- CD El Ejido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.03.25	El Ejido - CP Almería	5:1 ✺
02.03.25	Real Jaén - El Ejido	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	El Ejido - Mancha Real	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Ejido	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	El Ejido - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
03.11.24	El Ejido - Arenas Armilla	1:4
14.04.24	Arenas Armilla - El Ejido	1:2
26.11.23	El Ejido - Arenas Armilla	2:0

Arenas Armilla - El Ejido: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide