Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 15Date: 21 December 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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Atlético Porcuna |
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El Palo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.45 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.28 |
4.85 |
10.96 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.16 |
3.13 |
|
 |
2.14 |
3 |
3.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.78) |
3.41 ↓
(3.55) |
4.64 ↑
(3.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Porcuna
50.6% | Draw
28.5% | El Palo
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Atlético Porcuna - El Palo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Ruiz O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 76', 2 - 0, Cornejo R. ⚽,
- 85', 3 - 0, Cornejo R. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Atlético Porcuna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).El Palo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Atlético Porcuna is considered a favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).Including home match between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 02.02.25 | El Palo - Atlético Porcuna | 2:2 | | 05.03.23 | El Palo - Atlético Porcuna | 1:0 | | 06.11.22 | Atlético Porcuna - El Palo | 1:2 | | 06.01.22 | El Palo - Atlético Porcuna | 4:3 | | 15.12.19 | El Palo - Atlético Porcuna | 1:0 |
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