Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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El Palo |
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Huétor Vega |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.48 |
3.05 |
2.62 |
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 |
2.53 |
3.16 |
2.68 |
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2.52 |
3.18 |
2.66 |
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2.5 |
2.9 |
2.63 |
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2.48 |
3.04 |
2.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.5) |
3.07 ↑
(3.04) |
2.64 ↑
(2.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Palo
36.2% | Draw
29.5% | Huétor Vega
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for El Palo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Huétor Vega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (-2.5%)El Palo - Huétor Vega Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 1.El Palo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Huétor Vega is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
El Palo - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 26.10.25 | Huétor Vega - El Palo | 3:1 | | 04.05.25 | El Palo - Huétor Vega | 2:3 | | 22.12.24 | Huétor Vega - El Palo | 0:0 | | 12.03.23 | Huétor Vega - El Palo | 0:3 | | 20.11.22 | El Palo - Huétor Vega | 0:3 | | 13.03.22 | El Palo - Huétor Vega | 1:1 | | 14.11.21 | Huétor Vega - El Palo | 2:1 |
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