Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Saguntino		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	3.3
	2.12	2.7	3.25
	2.11	2.8	3.35
	2.14	2.84	3.41
	2.22	2.8	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)	2.8 ↓ (2.81)	3.37 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
41.7%

Draw
31.8%

Elche Ilicitano
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Saguntino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

Saguntino is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ilicitano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saguntino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
27.11.21	Benigánim - Atlético Saguntino	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	Atlético Saguntino - Valencia B	2:2 ✺
13.11.21	Español de San Vicente - Atlético Saguntino	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Atlético Saguntino - Olímpic de Xàtiva	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Orihuela - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWTW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
28.11.21	Elche Ilicitano - Silla	5:0 ✺
20.11.21	Roda - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Elche Ilicitano - Callosa Deportiva	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Villajoyosa - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Elche Ilicitano - Atzeneta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.05.21	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Saguntino	2:0
17.04.21	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:0
05.01.20	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:1
27.01.19	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Saguntino	3:3
08.09.18	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:1

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