Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Saguntino		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.3	4	Watch
	1.95	3.06	4.3
	1.96	3.1	4.07
	1.92	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.96 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
47.6%

Draw
29.2%

Peña Deportiva
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Saguntino's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Saguntino - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Saguntino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.01.24	Manresa - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético Saguntino - Valencia B	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Atlético Saguntino - Terrassa	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLWT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.01.24	Peña Deportiva - Alzira	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Peña Deportiva - Terrassa	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	La Nucía - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:5 ✺
03.12.23	CE Europa - Peña Deportiva	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.09.23	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Saguntino	2:2
14.05.23	Atlético Saguntino - Peña Deportiva	3:3
15.01.23	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Saguntino	1:0
01.04.18	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Saguntino	3:1
05.11.17	Atlético Saguntino - Peña Deportiva	2:0

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