The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Sanluqueño 20.2%
Draw 27.4%
Alcorcón 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
27.1%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
26.5%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcorcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 14. Pavon A. 12. Ukwuije N. 4. Almagro S. 7. Kikin 16. Viedma A. 26. Andujar J. 20. Lobede U. 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A. 5. Niza S.
1. Ayesa G. (G) 4. Rojas J. 19. Pola J. 15. Rodriguez S. 23. Navarro D. 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 5. Rai 14. Vacas L. 22. Blanco R. 9. Carmona M. 7. Aparicio E.
Substitutes
24. Ajouaou V. 9. Alvarez I. 28. Bargallo A. 3. Cabrera J. 15. Denia M. 18. Diallo B. 23. Gomez A. 6. Mulenga T. 1. Rocafort R. (G) 10. Ronald 21. Satoca D. 11. Simon L.
18. Aguado T. 35. Arcos D. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 11. Kopotun V. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 6. Perez I. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Aparicio E. (Penalty Awarded),
15', Navarro D. 🟨,
35', Rodri 🟨,
43', Ukwuije N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Viedma A. ↓, Satoca D. ↑,
46', Niza S. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
46', Navarro D. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
59', Almagro S. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
59', Lobede U. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
68', 🟨,
72', Aparicio E. ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
79', Vacas L. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
79', Blanco R. ↓, Kopotun V. ↑,
79', Carmona M. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
90', Kikin 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Sanluqueño is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Alcorcón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Alcorcón is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Sanluqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.