Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	4.1
	1.95	2.98	4.15
	1.96	3.19	3.94	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)	3.01 ↓ (3.19)	4.08 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
47.2%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Sanluqueño
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 24. Castro O. 4. Coch A. 21. Garcia J. 9. Gonzaga M. 3. Marquez J. 6. Mayorga A. 19. Obeng I. 7. Rastrojo J. 11. Sanchez T. 8. Turrillo I. (C)	1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 30. Barea P. 3. Cabrera J. 4. Castellano A. 8. Gallastegui J. 19. Juarez A. 7. Kikin 17. Rodri 2. Sola Villalba R. 16. Tounkara N. 5. Trapero
Substitutes
22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 2. Arauz C. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 5. Montes E. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G) 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V.	20. Arruabarrena J. 18. Bonfing B. 22. Carneil H. 13. Dominguez R. (G) 10. Feria J. 23. Gomez A. 14. Hernandez Camps G. 11. Lorenzo O. 28. Moreno F. 12. Rodriguez S. 21. Satoca D. 9. Zequi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Gallastegui J. 🟨,
16', Juarez A. 🟨,
26', Mayorga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Castellano A. ↓, Bonfing B. ↑,
57', Tounkara N. 🟨,
58', Garcia J. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Bonfing B. (Own goal),
62', Kikin ↓, Zequi ↑,
63', Gallastegui J. ↓, Carneil H. ↑,
68', Riley J. 🟨,
71', Castro O. 🟨,
74', Juarez A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Obeng I. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Garrido D. ⚽, Riley J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 1.

Recent performances by Algeciras have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanluqueño has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Algeciras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Algeciras is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Algeciras - Antequera	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Eldense - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Cartagena - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	CE Europa - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Betis B - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.08.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1
30.11.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	2:2
Club Friendly
07.08.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:0
01.10.23	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	0:0

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