Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rodriguez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:45	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.60	2.90	2.55
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.66	3.1	2.8
	2.66	3.08	2.71	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.65
	2.52	3.04	2.55
	2.65	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.31)	3.02 ↓ (3.18)	2.61 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
35%

Draw
30.1%

Hércules
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Joseda 5. Van Rijn N. 4. Gil F. 23. Royo M. (C) 16. Babanzilla M. 8. Montalvo M. 10. Eugeni 17. Almansa A. 12. Bakis S. 20. Segura C.	13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. (C) 5. Cantero R. 23. Jimenez J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 18. Fidalgo A. 20. Escudero A. 11. Jimenez A. 22. Narro V. 17. Antonin
Substitutes
13. Abril V. (G) 6. Gabarri T. 14. Gelardo A. 11. Gomez D. 15. Jose Amo 18. Katsushima S. 9. Marco P. 19. Prohens J. 24. Ramirez D. 7. Sanchez B. 2. Subirats O. 3. Villote V.	31. Abdelilah H. 24. Bosch M. 12. de Palmas R. 21. Galvan J. 16. Gismera A. 26. Gutierrez S. 3. Lopez D. 7. Obeng I. 10. Soldevila O. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G)
Coaches
Campos X.	Company B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Vazquez S. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Joseda ⚽, Almansa A. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Bakis S. (Penalty Awarded),
26', 3 - 1, Segura C. ⚽,
33', 4 - 1, Eugeni ⚽,
45+4', Royo M. 🟨,
45+4', Jimenez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jimenez J. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
46', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Gismera A. ↑,
46', Jimenez A. ↓, Abdelilah H. ↑,
46', Narro V. ↓, Soldevila O. ↑,
61', Bakis S. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
61', Segura C. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
61', Gil F. ↓, Jose Amo ↑,
62', 4 - 2, Abdelilah H. ⚽, Fidalgo A. (A),
67', Eugeni ↓, Gabarri T. ↑,
68', Gismera A. 🟨,
77', Antonin ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
77', Almansa A. ↓, Villote V. ↑,
90+2', Joseda 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Gimnàstic (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hércules shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hércules could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gimnàstic has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnàstic against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gimnastic	9	4	2	3	15:14	1	14
10	Hercules	9	4	1	4	8:11	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Hércules - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.10.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sant Andreu	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.10.26	Algeciras - Hércules	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Hércules - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hércules - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Águilas - Hércules	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.05.26	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
30.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.12.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	0:2
08.02.15	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:3
21.09.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.12	Hércules - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:3

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