The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Sanluqueño 29%
Draw 30%
Marbella 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
30.3%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
29.2%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 14. Pavon A. (C) 12. Ukwuije N. 3. Cabrera J. 26. Andujar J. 5. Niza S. 16. Viedma A. 20. Lobede U. 17. Rodri 19. Juarez A.
1. Garcia M. (G) 5. Carbonell A. 22. Rodriguez J. 4. Castellano A. 3. Martinez A. 16. Ruiz A. 30. Guzman T. 8. Eugeni (C) 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Sanchez V. 24. Selma D.
Substitutes
4. Almagro S. 9. Alvarez I. 30. Barea P. 28. Bargallo A. 29. Cardona G. 15. Denia M. 7. Kikin 6. Mulenga T. 1. Rocafort R. (G) 21. Satoca D. 11. Simon L. 35. Valencia F. (G)
17. Alexiel 2. Alvarez J. 20. Cambra J. 23. Escassi A. 15. Gabri 10. Gil A. 26. Navarro C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Eugeni 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
20', Carbonell A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
24', Viedma A. ↓, Satoca D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Guzman T. ↓, Cambra J. ↑,
58', Niza S. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Own goal),
75', 3 - 0, Alvarez I. ⚽,
79', Juarez A. ↓, Simon L. ↑,
79', Rodri ↓, Denia M. ↑,
81', Selma D. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gabri ↑,
87', Eugeni ↓, Gil A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Castellano A. ⚽,
90+4', Alexiel 🟨,
90+8', Cabrera J. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
90+11', 3 - 2, Alexiel ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2.
Recent form of Sanluqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Marbella has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sanluqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Marbella might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Spain
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Dominguez R. (G) 
Ukwuije N. 
Juarez A. 
Ohemeng E. 
Cardona G. 
Mulenga T. 
Alexiel 
