The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marbella 32.6%
Draw 32.9%
Algeciras 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
33%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
33.3%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Marbella - Algeciras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 22. Rodriguez J. 23. Escassi A. (C) 5. Carbonell A. 16. Ruiz A. 30. Guzman T. 8. Eugeni 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Sanchez V. 24. Selma D.
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 6. Mayorga A. 4. Coch A. 3. Marquez J. 10. Garrido D. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 20. Alamo J. 19. Obeng I. 21. Garcia J. 9. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
17. Alexiel 14. Bujan U. 20. Cambra J. 4. Castellano A. 15. Gabri 10. Gil A. 3. Martinez A. 26. Navarro C.
2. Arauz C. 17. Aviles J. 13. Casado S. (G) 24. Castro O. 16. Gomez A. 14. Nader A. 7. Rastrojo J. 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V. 11. Sanchez T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Turrillo I. ⚽,
28', Alvarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Alvarez J. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
46', Mayorga A. 🟨,
50', Mayorga A. 🟨,
52', Carbonell A. 🟨,
53', Garrido D. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
53', Gonzaga M. ↓, Castro O. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Ruiz A. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Ohemeng E. ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, Eugeni ⚽,
69', Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↓, Sanchez T. ↑,
69', Alamo J. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
72', Eugeni ↓, Cambra J. ↑,
72', Ohemeng E. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
72', Ruiz A. ↓, Gabri ↑,
76', Sanchez V. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Marquez J. ↓, Arauz C. ↑,
85', Sanchez V. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
85', Turrillo I. 🟨,
90+2', Sanchez T. 🟨,
90+2', Castro O. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 2.
Recent form of Marbella has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Algeciras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Marbella won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
Spain
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Garcia M. (G) 
Ohemeng E. 
Alexiel 
Nader A. 
