Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Tomelloso		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2
	3.59	3.05	2
	3.77	3.11	1.93
	3.85	3.06	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.93)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tomelloso
24.7%

Draw
29.6%

Villarrubia
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tomelloso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tomelloso's form might have worsened.

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tomelloso than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tomelloso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 0 - 2, Juanra ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Villarrubia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tomelloso won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomelloso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Atlético Tomelloso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.03.24	Atlético Tomelloso - Azuqueca	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Quintanar del Rey - Atlético Tomelloso	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Tomelloso - Tarancón	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Torrijos - Atlético Tomelloso	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Atlético Tomelloso - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTTW
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.03.24	La Solana - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	San Clemente - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Villarrubia - Albacete B	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
04.11.23	Villarrubia - Atlético Tomelloso	1:1
11.03.23	Villarrubia - Atlético Tomelloso	0:0
06.11.22	Atlético Tomelloso - Villarrubia	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.04.18	Atlético Tomelloso - Villarrubia	1:1

Atlético Tomelloso - Villarrubia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide