Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Villarrubia		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.3
	2.92	2.98	2.35
	3.09	2.95	2.28
	2.65	2.88	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.65)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
30.4%

Draw
30.9%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

28.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1.

Recent performances by Villarrubia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calvo Sotelo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Villarrubia	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
15.03.26	San Clemente - Villarrubia	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Villarrubia - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Illescas - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Villarrubia - Manchego	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWL
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
15.03.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Pedroñeras - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Sonseca	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - San Clemente	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Villacañas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0
13.04.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0
30.11.24	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	4:0
02.03.24	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1
15.10.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	0:0
16.04.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	1:0
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0

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