Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Marchamalo		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.82
	2.44	3.04	2.9
	2.78	2.41	3.26	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.41	2.88	2.95
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)	2.94 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marchamalo
36.4%

Draw
32.4%

Villarrubia
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Marchamalo - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).

Marchamalo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villarrubia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villarrubia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marchamalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marchamalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.12.25	Tarancón - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Marchamalo - San Clemente	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Villacañas - Marchamalo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWT
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.12.25	Villarrubia - Azuqueca	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Tarancón - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Villarrubia - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Villarrubia - San Clemente	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.02.25	Villarrubia - Marchamalo	0:2
28.09.24	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:1
11.02.24	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	1:2
23.09.23	Villarrubia - Marchamalo	1:0

Marchamalo - Villarrubia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide