Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Atlético Tordesillas		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.00	2.50
	2.60	2.95	2.45
	2.55	3.00	2.55
	2.79	3.05	2.56
	2.77	3.04	2.52	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.50
	2.73	3.21	2.68
	2.60	3.00	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.63)	3.03 ↑ (2.98)	2.53 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tordesillas
34.1%

Draw
30%

Navalcarnero
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Tordesillas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1%)

Atlético Tordesillas - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Chatun ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 2 - 0, Castano J. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Andrei D. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Esteban R. ⚽,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Tordesillas (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Navalcarnero have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tordesillas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Navalcarnero has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Navalcarnero	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
15	Atl. Tordesillas	5	1	1	3	8:10	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.09.26	Albacete B - Atlético Tordesillas	4:3 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético Tordesillas - San Sebastian Reyes	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Palencia CA - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.09.26	Navalcarnero - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero	0:2 AET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.09.26	Valladolid B - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Salamanca - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Deportivo Toledo - Navalcarnero	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW

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