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Current Win Probability
Salamanca 47.5%
Draw 27.7%
Navalcarnero 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
26.7%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.5%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+3%)
Salamanca - Navalcarnero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Alsua A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Sanchez M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 10th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Salamanca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Salamanca is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Salamanca has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Salamanca against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Salamanca
8
4
1
3
12:10
2
13
8
Navalcarnero
8
3
3
2
13:12
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Salamanca - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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