Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Unión Güímar		Buzanada

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.65	3.15	2.2
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.82	3.26	2.35
	2.86	3.38	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.81)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Unión Güímar
32.6%

Draw
27.8%

Buzanada
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

20.3%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Unión Güímar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Buzanada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Unión Güímar than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Unión Güímar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buzanada than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buzanada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Unión Güímar - Buzanada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 12 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 12 (Second stage)).

Atlético Unión Güímar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Buzanada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Unión Güímar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Unión Güímar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Unión Güímar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Unión Güímar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.04.21	Santa Úrsula - Atlético Unión Güímar	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Ibarra - Atlético Unión Güímar	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Atlético Paso	3:3 ✺
10.03.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLTL
- CD Buzanada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.03.21	Atletico Tacoronte - Buzanada	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Buzanada - Ibarra	5:0 ✺
13.03.21	Buzanada - Santa Úrsula	1:1 ✺
10.03.21	Buzanada - Vera de Puerto Cruz	3:0 ✺
07.03.21	Tenerife B - Buzanada	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
13.11.20	Buzanada - Atlético Unión Güímar	2:1
09.11.19	Atlético Unión Güímar - Buzanada	3:0
05.04.19	Buzanada - Atlético Unión Güímar	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.01.18	Atlético Unión Güímar - Buzanada	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.17	Buzanada - Atlético Unión Güímar	1:0

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